Tigers vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 6/18/23

Minnesota Twins (36-35) vs Detroit Tigers (29-40)

Game Info: Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 2:10 pm (Target Field)

Louie Varland (3-2) (4.70) vs () ()

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins / Detroit Tigers --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Twins will host the Detroit Tigers for their divisional series finale this Sunday from Target Field. Minnesota took Game two in a low-scoring matchup, 2-0.

Tigers Betting Preview

Detroit moved to 29-40 after losing to Minnesota. The Tigers were shut out for the fourth time this month, and they’ll look to find some production Sunday. dropped five straight to open the month of June, and they’ll face another uphill battle in Game three. The Detroit offense is scoring 2.72 runs per Game, while batting .224, with a .300 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.51 ERA, with a 1.26 WHIP. Leading slugger Riley Greene remains out, and they’ve struggled even more without him. Javier Baez showed up with five RBI in the first two series win over Minnesota, and he now leads the team with 34. Spencer Torkelson has recorded a hit in seven of the last nine Games, and he’s right behind Baez with 32 RBI.

The Tigers have yet to name a starter, indicating Game three may be a bullpen or call-up day.

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Twins Betting Preview

Minnesota moved to 36-35 after defeating Detroit. The Twins avoided the sweep by taking Game three at home, and they’ll now look to even the series up Sunday. The Minnesota offense is scoring 3.62 runs per Game, while batting .233, with a .315 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.44 ERA, with a 1.18 WHIP. It’s been a very pedestrian season at the plate as a whole for the Twins. Joey Gallo doubled in the Game two win, and he leads the team in homers (11), with 24 RBI. Carlos Correa has collected a hit in seven of the last nine Games, and he’s first on the club in RBI (34), while hitting nine home runs. Donovan Solano leads the Twins in batting (.285), after recording a hit in six of the last eight Games. 

Louie Varland (3-2, 4.70 ERA, 37 Ks) will take the mound for Minnesota. The second-year pitcher endured one of toughest possible stretches of play to open June, facing juggernauts Houston, Toronto and Tampa, all on the road. Varland started June strong with seven shutout innings and a win over the Astros, but he found a lot of trouble with the Rays, allowing seven runs to take his second loss of the season. Varland avoided the losing decision last weekend against the Blue Jays, despite allowing four runs in 4.2 innings pitched. This home matchup versus Detroit should be a nice tone down from those three matchups, and he may find success. 

Detroit vs Minnesota Trends

Detroit is 36-33 against the spread this season, with a 37-31-1 O/U record. Minnesota is 36-35 ATS this year, with a 30-38-3 over/under record.

Corey’s Free Pick

Saturday’s contest was as boring as they come, and that’s what you see when you look at these two teams. Neither team thrives very well at the plate, and they both rank among the league’s worst offenses statistically. Despite those factors, Minnesota may have something going for them on the mound. Louie Varland fought hard in a gauntlet of starts to open the month, and this home spot with Detroit more than manageable. The Twins should also be able to capitalize on the Tigers’ shortcomings on the hill, and ultimately, I like the hosts finding a way to win this Game.

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